Latest National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport forecasts an overnight low near 74°F on May 14, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus and positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 41.5% implied probability among traders wagering real capital. This trader sentiment reflects radiational cooling under light southwest winds of 5 mph, partial clearing after evening thunderstorms, and moderation from surrounding Atlantic sea surface temperatures around 78°F, typical for mid-May climatology with historical averages near 75°F. Yesterday's observed low of 73°F amid drier high pressure sets a recent baseline, while lingering cloud cover introduces uncertainty that could shift odds toward 76-77°F (23.5%). New model runs and NWS updates expected this afternoon may further refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami em 14 de maio?
Temperatura mais baixa em Miami em 14 de maio?
74-75°F 43%
76-77°F 33%
72-73°F 16%
78-79°F 7.9%
67°F ou menos
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
8%
26,7-27,2°C
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F ou mais
1%
74-75°F 43%
76-77°F 33%
72-73°F 16%
78-79°F 7.9%
67°F ou menos
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
8%
26,7-27,2°C
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport forecasts an overnight low near 74°F on May 14, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus and positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 41.5% implied probability among traders wagering real capital. This trader sentiment reflects radiational cooling under light southwest winds of 5 mph, partial clearing after evening thunderstorms, and moderation from surrounding Atlantic sea surface temperatures around 78°F, typical for mid-May climatology with historical averages near 75°F. Yesterday's observed low of 73°F amid drier high pressure sets a recent baseline, while lingering cloud cover introduces uncertainty that could shift odds toward 76-77°F (23.5%). New model runs and NWS updates expected this afternoon may further refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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