Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate overnight lows for New York City on July 6 clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, with the market's tight spread across 66–71°F bins reflecting modest ensemble disagreement on cloud cover and wind. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling toward the 66–69°F range, while increased humidity or a marine layer from the Atlantic could limit drops near 70–71°F. Urban heat island effects in Manhattan add a few degrees of variability compared to Central Park observations, and any late-day frontal approach could shift the minimum by 2–3°F. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs tomorrow will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLowest temperature in NYC on July 6?
Lowest temperature in NYC on July 6?
64-65°F 24%
66-67°F 22%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 22%
NOVO
NOVO
6 jul 2026
59°F or below
2%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 24%
66-67°F 22%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 22%
NOVO
NOVO
6 jul 2026
59°F or below
$2,039 Vol.
2%
60-61°F
$1,487 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$1,024 Vol.
4%
64-65°F
$391 Vol.
24%
66-67°F
$494 Vol.
22%
68-69°F
$1,548 Vol.
22%
70-71°F
$136 Vol.
22%
72-73°F
$332 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$532 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$405 Vol.
1%
78°F or higher
$332 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate overnight lows for New York City on July 6 clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, with the market's tight spread across 66–71°F bins reflecting modest ensemble disagreement on cloud cover and wind. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling toward the 66–69°F range, while increased humidity or a marine layer from the Atlantic could limit drops near 70–71°F. Urban heat island effects in Manhattan add a few degrees of variability compared to Central Park observations, and any late-day frontal approach could shift the minimum by 2–3°F. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs tomorrow will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$8,721Data de Término
6 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate overnight lows for New York City on July 6 clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, with the market's tight spread across 66–71°F bins reflecting modest ensemble disagreement on cloud cover and wind. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling toward the 66–69°F range, while increased humidity or a marine layer from the Atlantic could limit drops near 70–71°F. Urban heat island effects in Manhattan add a few degrees of variability compared to Central Park observations, and any late-day frontal approach could shift the minimum by 2–3°F. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs tomorrow will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,721Data de Término
6 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate overnight lows for New York City on July 6 clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, with the market's tight spread across 66–71°F bins reflecting modest ensemble disagreement on cloud cover and wind. Clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling toward the 66–69°F range, while increased humidity or a marine layer from the Atlantic could limit drops near 70–71°F. Urban heat island effects in Manhattan add a few degrees of variability compared to Central Park observations, and any late-day frontal approach could shift the minimum by 2–3°F. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs tomorrow will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions