Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a cooler overnight period for Paris on August 23 driven by increased cloud cover and a shift to northerly flow, limiting radiative cooling yet yielding minimum temperatures near 12–14°C. This positions 12°C as the narrow market leader at 47% implied probability, with 13°C close behind, reflecting subtle model spread on exact boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds. Historical August lows average 14–15°C, so current guidance represents a modest deviation tied to transient Atlantic influences. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations early on the 23rd will refine resolution criteria around the precise minimum reading at Paris-Montsouris.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 23 de agosto?
12°C 42%
13°C 38%
11°C 9%
14°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
8°C ou menos
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
9%
12°C
47%
13°C
38%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou mais
<1%
12°C 42%
13°C 38%
11°C 9%
14°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
8°C ou menos
$59 Vol.
1%
9°C
$114 Vol.
1%
10°C
$363 Vol.
1%
11°C
$235 Vol.
9%
12°C
$466 Vol.
47%
13°C
$569 Vol.
38%
14°C
$64 Vol.
5%
15°C
$109 Vol.
2%
16°C
$199 Vol.
1%
17°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
18°C ou mais
$69 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a cooler overnight period for Paris on August 23 driven by increased cloud cover and a shift to northerly flow, limiting radiative cooling yet yielding minimum temperatures near 12–14°C. This positions 12°C as the narrow market leader at 47% implied probability, with 13°C close behind, reflecting subtle model spread on exact boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds. Historical August lows average 14–15°C, so current guidance represents a modest deviation tied to transient Atlantic influences. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations early on the 23rd will refine resolution criteria around the precise minimum reading at Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,443Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a cooler overnight period for Paris on August 23 driven by increased cloud cover and a shift to northerly flow, limiting radiative cooling yet yielding minimum temperatures near 12–14°C. This positions 12°C as the narrow market leader at 47% implied probability, with 13°C close behind, reflecting subtle model spread on exact boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds. Historical August lows average 14–15°C, so current guidance represents a modest deviation tied to transient Atlantic influences. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations early on the 23rd will refine resolution criteria around the precise minimum reading at Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,443Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a cooler overnight period for Paris on August 23 driven by increased cloud cover and a shift to northerly flow, limiting radiative cooling yet yielding minimum temperatures near 12–14°C. This positions 12°C as the narrow market leader at 47% implied probability, with 13°C close behind, reflecting subtle model spread on exact boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds. Historical August lows average 14–15°C, so current guidance represents a modest deviation tied to transient Atlantic influences. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations early on the 23rd will refine resolution criteria around the precise minimum reading at Paris-Montsouris.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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