Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and AccuWeather indicate Paris overnight lows around 17–18°C (62–64°F) for July 7, amid a building warm spell following June's record heatwave. High-pressure dominance, clear skies, and light winds are limiting nocturnal cooling, with model consensus favoring minimums near or above seasonal averages of 15–16°C. Trader sentiment shows tight clustering across 16–21°C outcomes because short-term model runs still carry uncertainty on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could drop readings by 1–2°C. Upcoming Météo-France and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds and shift probabilities most for the 16°C-or-below versus 17–18°C bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLowest temperature in Paris on July 7?
19°C 44%
18°C 32%
17°C 14%
20°C 4.7%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
14%
18°C
32%
19°C
44%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 44%
18°C 32%
17°C 14%
20°C 4.7%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
14%
18°C
32%
19°C
44%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and AccuWeather indicate Paris overnight lows around 17–18°C (62–64°F) for July 7, amid a building warm spell following June's record heatwave. High-pressure dominance, clear skies, and light winds are limiting nocturnal cooling, with model consensus favoring minimums near or above seasonal averages of 15–16°C. Trader sentiment shows tight clustering across 16–21°C outcomes because short-term model runs still carry uncertainty on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could drop readings by 1–2°C. Upcoming Météo-France and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds and shift probabilities most for the 16°C-or-below versus 17–18°C bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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