Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC, timeanddate, and Met Office indicate minimum temperatures in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, around 24–27°C amid scattered thunderstorms, isolated showers, and moderate southerly flow. This unsettled pattern, with elevated humidity near 75–80% and cloud cover, supports the market-implied 45% probability on 22°C or below by limiting overnight radiative cooling while allowing for localized cooling from precipitation. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 23–24°C, providing context for trader emphasis on variability in current model guidance. Key upcoming drivers include updated runs from global and regional models that could refine minimum thresholds ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Qingdao em 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Qingdao em 24 de agosto?
22°C ou menos 96%
32°C ou mais 47%
28°C 37%
23°C 36%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
96%
23°C
36%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
37%
29°C
2%
30°C
36%
31°C
36%
32°C ou mais
47%
22°C ou menos 96%
32°C ou mais 47%
28°C 37%
23°C 36%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
96%
23°C
$0 Vol.
36%
24°C
$0 Vol.
36%
25°C
$0 Vol.
36%
26°C
$18 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$0 Vol.
37%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
36%
31°C
$0 Vol.
36%
32°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC, timeanddate, and Met Office indicate minimum temperatures in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, around 24–27°C amid scattered thunderstorms, isolated showers, and moderate southerly flow. This unsettled pattern, with elevated humidity near 75–80% and cloud cover, supports the market-implied 45% probability on 22°C or below by limiting overnight radiative cooling while allowing for localized cooling from precipitation. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 23–24°C, providing context for trader emphasis on variability in current model guidance. Key upcoming drivers include updated runs from global and regional models that could refine minimum thresholds ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$18Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC, timeanddate, and Met Office indicate minimum temperatures in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, around 24–27°C amid scattered thunderstorms, isolated showers, and moderate southerly flow. This unsettled pattern, with elevated humidity near 75–80% and cloud cover, supports the market-implied 45% probability on 22°C or below by limiting overnight radiative cooling while allowing for localized cooling from precipitation. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 23–24°C, providing context for trader emphasis on variability in current model guidance. Key upcoming drivers include updated runs from global and regional models that could refine minimum thresholds ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC, timeanddate, and Met Office indicate minimum temperatures in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, around 24–27°C amid scattered thunderstorms, isolated showers, and moderate southerly flow. This unsettled pattern, with elevated humidity near 75–80% and cloud cover, supports the market-implied 45% probability on 22°C or below by limiting overnight radiative cooling while allowing for localized cooling from precipitation. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 23–24°C, providing context for trader emphasis on variability in current model guidance. Key upcoming drivers include updated runs from global and regional models that could refine minimum thresholds ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions