Recent forecast runs from agencies including the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a potential overnight minimum near or below 15°C in Incheon on September 8, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling and a shift to northerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. This positions the 15°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability as traders weigh model consensus against historical September lows averaging around 18°C. Upcoming high-resolution updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine the exact threshold, with any eastward steering or increased cloud cover likely supporting the 19–20°C range currently at 33–36%.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 8 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 8 de setembro?
15°C ou menos 96%
16°C 44%
17°C 44%
21°C 44%
NOVO
NOVO
8 set 2026
15°C ou menos
96%
16°C
44%
17°C
44%
18°C
16%
19°C
34%
20°C
36%
21°C
44%
22°C
44%
23°C
44%
24°C
44%
25°C ou mais
1%
15°C ou menos 96%
16°C 44%
17°C 44%
21°C 44%
NOVO
NOVO
8 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
96%
16°C
$0 Vol.
44%
17°C
$0 Vol.
44%
18°C
$0 Vol.
16%
19°C
$0 Vol.
34%
20°C
$0 Vol.
36%
21°C
$0 Vol.
44%
22°C
$0 Vol.
44%
23°C
$0 Vol.
44%
24°C
$0 Vol.
44%
25°C ou mais
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from agencies including the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a potential overnight minimum near or below 15°C in Incheon on September 8, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling and a shift to northerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. This positions the 15°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability as traders weigh model consensus against historical September lows averaging around 18°C. Upcoming high-resolution updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine the exact threshold, with any eastward steering or increased cloud cover likely supporting the 19–20°C range currently at 33–36%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$5Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from agencies including the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a potential overnight minimum near or below 15°C in Incheon on September 8, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling and a shift to northerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. This positions the 15°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability as traders weigh model consensus against historical September lows averaging around 18°C. Upcoming high-resolution updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine the exact threshold, with any eastward steering or increased cloud cover likely supporting the 19–20°C range currently at 33–36%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from agencies including the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a potential overnight minimum near or below 15°C in Incheon on September 8, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling and a shift to northerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. This positions the 15°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability as traders weigh model consensus against historical September lows averaging around 18°C. Upcoming high-resolution updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine the exact threshold, with any eastward steering or increased cloud cover likely supporting the 19–20°C range currently at 33–36%.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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