Forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency show persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds limiting daytime heating in Tokyo on September 6, favoring a maximum near 24–25°C. These conditions suppress solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling while advecting cooler maritime air, consistent with early-September climatology under a passing frontal system. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched probabilities for 24°C and 25°C captures the narrow range of outcomes across ensemble guidance, with lower odds on 23°C or 26°C arising from potential shifts in timing of heaviest precipitation or wind direction. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 6 de setembro?
25°C 29%
24°C 29%
23°C 17%
26°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
17%
24°C
29%
25°C
29%
26°C
16%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 29%
24°C 29%
23°C 17%
26°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
19°C ou menos
$654 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$653 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$168 Vol.
3%
22°C
$363 Vol.
5%
23°C
$1,159 Vol.
17%
24°C
$653 Vol.
29%
25°C
$937 Vol.
29%
26°C
$1,381 Vol.
16%
27°C
$410 Vol.
4%
28°C
$181 Vol.
2%
29°C ou mais
$147 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency show persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds limiting daytime heating in Tokyo on September 6, favoring a maximum near 24–25°C. These conditions suppress solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling while advecting cooler maritime air, consistent with early-September climatology under a passing frontal system. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched probabilities for 24°C and 25°C captures the narrow range of outcomes across ensemble guidance, with lower odds on 23°C or 26°C arising from potential shifts in timing of heaviest precipitation or wind direction. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,707Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency show persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds limiting daytime heating in Tokyo on September 6, favoring a maximum near 24–25°C. These conditions suppress solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling while advecting cooler maritime air, consistent with early-September climatology under a passing frontal system. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched probabilities for 24°C and 25°C captures the narrow range of outcomes across ensemble guidance, with lower odds on 23°C or 26°C arising from potential shifts in timing of heaviest precipitation or wind direction. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,707Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency show persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds limiting daytime heating in Tokyo on September 6, favoring a maximum near 24–25°C. These conditions suppress solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling while advecting cooler maritime air, consistent with early-September climatology under a passing frontal system. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched probabilities for 24°C and 25°C captures the narrow range of outcomes across ensemble guidance, with lower odds on 23°C or 26°C arising from potential shifts in timing of heaviest precipitation or wind direction. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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