Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 26–31°C on September 5, driven by lingering cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds tied to tropical cyclone Saodel’s passage near the Pearl River estuary. This pattern limits solar heating and aligns with recent observations of highs near 29°C amid unsettled conditions. Model consensus and seasonal context—normal to above-normal September temperatures amid an emerging El Niño—support 30–31°C as the most probable range, while the 13.5% implied odds for 32°C reflect residual uncertainty if convection weakens faster than expected. Updated model runs and HKO briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 5 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 5 de setembro?
31°C 41%
30°C 31%
32°C 18%
29°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
5 set 2026
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
31%
31°C
41%
32°C
18%
33°C
3%
34°C ou mais
<1%
31°C 41%
30°C 31%
32°C 18%
29°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
5 set 2026
24°C ou menos
$142 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$272 Vol.
3%
29°C
$312 Vol.
8%
30°C
$449 Vol.
31%
31°C
$1,542 Vol.
41%
32°C
$610 Vol.
18%
33°C
$165 Vol.
3%
34°C ou mais
$142 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 26–31°C on September 5, driven by lingering cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds tied to tropical cyclone Saodel’s passage near the Pearl River estuary. This pattern limits solar heating and aligns with recent observations of highs near 29°C amid unsettled conditions. Model consensus and seasonal context—normal to above-normal September temperatures amid an emerging El Niño—support 30–31°C as the most probable range, while the 13.5% implied odds for 32°C reflect residual uncertainty if convection weakens faster than expected. Updated model runs and HKO briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,353Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 26–31°C on September 5, driven by lingering cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds tied to tropical cyclone Saodel’s passage near the Pearl River estuary. This pattern limits solar heating and aligns with recent observations of highs near 29°C amid unsettled conditions. Model consensus and seasonal context—normal to above-normal September temperatures amid an emerging El Niño—support 30–31°C as the most probable range, while the 13.5% implied odds for 32°C reflect residual uncertainty if convection weakens faster than expected. Updated model runs and HKO briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,353Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 26–31°C on September 5, driven by lingering cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds tied to tropical cyclone Saodel’s passage near the Pearl River estuary. This pattern limits solar heating and aligns with recent observations of highs near 29°C amid unsettled conditions. Model consensus and seasonal context—normal to above-normal September temperatures amid an emerging El Niño—support 30–31°C as the most probable range, while the 13.5% implied odds for 32°C reflect residual uncertainty if convection weakens faster than expected. Updated model runs and HKO briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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