Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on September 5, 2026, is strongly expected to reach 27°C, aligning with the market's 96.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical conditions, including high humidity, light winds, and extensive cloud cover, have limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory observations showing recent lows of 25–27°C and forecasts projecting a similar overnight floor near 26–27°C. Model consensus from regional guidance supports this range without notable divergence toward sharper drops. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear skies or a rapid shift in steering patterns that enhances cooling, though current atmospheric stability and seasonal baselines make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 5 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 5 de setembro?
27°C 98%
26°C 2%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$32,764 Vol.
$32,764 Vol.
5 set 2026
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 98%
26°C 2%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$32,764 Vol.
$32,764 Vol.
5 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$158 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$148 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,520 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,490 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,232 Vol.
1%
26°C
$9,432 Vol.
2%
27°C
$11,926 Vol.
98%
28°C
$1,166 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou mais
$379 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on September 5, 2026, is strongly expected to reach 27°C, aligning with the market's 96.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical conditions, including high humidity, light winds, and extensive cloud cover, have limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory observations showing recent lows of 25–27°C and forecasts projecting a similar overnight floor near 26–27°C. Model consensus from regional guidance supports this range without notable divergence toward sharper drops. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear skies or a rapid shift in steering patterns that enhances cooling, though current atmospheric stability and seasonal baselines make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$32,764Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on September 5, 2026, is strongly expected to reach 27°C, aligning with the market's 96.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical conditions, including high humidity, light winds, and extensive cloud cover, have limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory observations showing recent lows of 25–27°C and forecasts projecting a similar overnight floor near 26–27°C. Model consensus from regional guidance supports this range without notable divergence toward sharper drops. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear skies or a rapid shift in steering patterns that enhances cooling, though current atmospheric stability and seasonal baselines make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,764Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on September 5, 2026, is strongly expected to reach 27°C, aligning with the market's 96.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical conditions, including high humidity, light winds, and extensive cloud cover, have limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory observations showing recent lows of 25–27°C and forecasts projecting a similar overnight floor near 26–27°C. Model consensus from regional guidance supports this range without notable divergence toward sharper drops. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear skies or a rapid shift in steering patterns that enhances cooling, though current atmospheric stability and seasonal baselines make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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