Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light northwest winds on September 4, limiting surface heating and supporting a maximum near 28–29°C. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity around 75–95% reduce incoming solar radiation, while any breaks in the cloud deck could allow brief warming to the upper end of that range. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these two outcomes because small variations in timing or intensity of showers—driven by nearby tropical systems—can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated HKO briefings and refined model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the outlook before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 4 de setembro?
28°C 31%
29°C 30%
30°C 16%
27°C 11%
$10,928 Vol.
$10,928 Vol.
23°C ou menos
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
11%
28°C
31%
29°C
30%
30°C
16%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C ou mais
1%
28°C 31%
29°C 30%
30°C 16%
27°C 11%
$10,928 Vol.
$10,928 Vol.
23°C ou menos
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
11%
28°C
31%
29°C
30%
30°C
16%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light northwest winds on September 4, limiting surface heating and supporting a maximum near 28–29°C. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity around 75–95% reduce incoming solar radiation, while any breaks in the cloud deck could allow brief warming to the upper end of that range. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these two outcomes because small variations in timing or intensity of showers—driven by nearby tropical systems—can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated HKO briefings and refined model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the outlook before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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