**Recent forecasts position 29–31°C as the most likely range for Wuhan's maximum temperature on September 2, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading implied probabilities (30°C at 37.5%, 29°C and 31°C at 24.5% each).** Multiple models, including those from WeatherBug, PredictWind, Yr.no, and local sources, project a high near 28–30°C (roughly 82–86°F) under mostly cloudy or overcast skies with light rain or drizzle possible. This follows a cooling trend driven by peripheral influences from typhoon activity and associated northerly winds, which moderated prior extreme heat (36–38°C peaks in late August) through increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and scattered precipitation from August 30–September 1. These conditions limit daytime solar heating and keep maxima below the seasonal peak. Historical context for early September in Wuhan's humid subtropical climate shows typical highs near 30°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors slightly suppressed values. Model consensus remains stable with only modest spread, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 29–31°C band while assigning low odds to outliers like 32°C+ or sub-28°C. New model runs or observational updates in the next 48 hours could refine the exact peak, particularly if rain timing or wind strength shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wuhan no dia 2 de setembro?
30°C 37%
31°C 25%
29°C 24%
32°C 9.0%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
24%
30°C
37%
31°C
25%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
4%
30°C 37%
31°C 25%
29°C 24%
32°C 9.0%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
24%
30°C
37%
31°C
25%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts position 29–31°C as the most likely range for Wuhan's maximum temperature on September 2, 2026, aligning closely with the market's leading implied probabilities (30°C at 37.5%, 29°C and 31°C at 24.5% each).** Multiple models, including those from WeatherBug, PredictWind, Yr.no, and local sources, project a high near 28–30°C (roughly 82–86°F) under mostly cloudy or overcast skies with light rain or drizzle possible. This follows a cooling trend driven by peripheral influences from typhoon activity and associated northerly winds, which moderated prior extreme heat (36–38°C peaks in late August) through increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and scattered precipitation from August 30–September 1. These conditions limit daytime solar heating and keep maxima below the seasonal peak. Historical context for early September in Wuhan's humid subtropical climate shows typical highs near 30°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors slightly suppressed values. Model consensus remains stable with only modest spread, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 29–31°C band while assigning low odds to outliers like 32°C+ or sub-28°C. New model runs or observational updates in the next 48 hours could refine the exact peak, particularly if rain timing or wind strength shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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