Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for New York City on August 31 indicate a high near 79–81°F under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to partly sunny skies, with light northerly winds and only a 20% chance of showers. This places the outcome near the late-August climatological normal of 81°F while cloud cover and modest onshore flow limit peak insolation and surface heating. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 78–83°F reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any convective development, typical for short-range temperature resolution where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction can alter the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 31 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 31 de agosto?
80-81°F 30%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 22%
84-85°F 9%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
73°F ou menos
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
9%
30-31°C
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F ou mais
<1%
80-81°F 30%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 22%
84-85°F 9%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
73°F ou menos
$60 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$15 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$1,066 Vol.
30%
82-83°F
$89 Vol.
22%
84-85°F
$237 Vol.
9%
30-31°C
$55 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
1%
92°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for New York City on August 31 indicate a high near 79–81°F under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to partly sunny skies, with light northerly winds and only a 20% chance of showers. This places the outcome near the late-August climatological normal of 81°F while cloud cover and modest onshore flow limit peak insolation and surface heating. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 78–83°F reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any convective development, typical for short-range temperature resolution where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction can alter the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,522Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for New York City on August 31 indicate a high near 79–81°F under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to partly sunny skies, with light northerly winds and only a 20% chance of showers. This places the outcome near the late-August climatological normal of 81°F while cloud cover and modest onshore flow limit peak insolation and surface heating. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 78–83°F reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any convective development, typical for short-range temperature resolution where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction can alter the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,522Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for New York City on August 31 indicate a high near 79–81°F under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to partly sunny skies, with light northerly winds and only a 20% chance of showers. This places the outcome near the late-August climatological normal of 81°F while cloud cover and modest onshore flow limit peak insolation and surface heating. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 78–83°F reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any convective development, typical for short-range temperature resolution where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction can alter the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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