Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high near 26°C for Toronto on August 29 under sunny to mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, aligning closely with the 24.9°C climatological average. This consensus, with limited upward revision potential from stronger insolation or brief warming, underpins the market's heaviest weighting toward 26–28°C outcomes. Stable late-summer patterns and absence of heat advection or blocking highs keep probabilities for 29°C+ or sub-25°C extremes low, though minor model spread in afternoon cloud cover could still shift the final maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Toronto em 29 de agosto?
27°C 45%
26°C 25%
28°C 21%
25°C 7%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
25%
27°C
45%
28°C
21%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
26°C 25%
28°C 21%
25°C 7%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
25%
27°C
45%
28°C
21%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high near 26°C for Toronto on August 29 under sunny to mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, aligning closely with the 24.9°C climatological average. This consensus, with limited upward revision potential from stronger insolation or brief warming, underpins the market's heaviest weighting toward 26–28°C outcomes. Stable late-summer patterns and absence of heat advection or blocking highs keep probabilities for 29°C+ or sub-25°C extremes low, though minor model spread in afternoon cloud cover could still shift the final maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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