Recent numerical weather forecasts for Qingdao on August 30 point to mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 3–4 m/s and only limited solar heating, centering the expected daily maximum near 28°C and driving the strongest market-implied odds for that outcome. Ensemble model spreads and timing uncertainties around any light showers or thicker cloud bands create the observed dispersion across 27–29°C bins, while climatological August averages near 29°C provide limited upward bias. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models later today or overnight will refine peak-temperature estimates ahead of the final observational resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 30 de agosto?
28°C 34%
27°C 22%
29°C 21%
26°C 8%
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
22%
28°C
34%
29°C
21%
30°C
7%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 34%
27°C 22%
29°C 21%
26°C 8%
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
22%
28°C
34%
29°C
21%
30°C
7%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather forecasts for Qingdao on August 30 point to mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 3–4 m/s and only limited solar heating, centering the expected daily maximum near 28°C and driving the strongest market-implied odds for that outcome. Ensemble model spreads and timing uncertainties around any light showers or thicker cloud bands create the observed dispersion across 27–29°C bins, while climatological August averages near 29°C provide limited upward bias. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models later today or overnight will refine peak-temperature estimates ahead of the final observational resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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