Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Austin on August 30 project a sunny day under persistent upper-level ridging, with afternoon highs most likely reaching 98–101°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 98–99°F and 100–101°F brackets. Light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover or precipitation support peak temperatures several degrees above the late-August climatological normal of ~95°F. Minor model spread stems from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint profiles, which could nudge the daily maximum a degree or two higher or lower but keep outcomes inside the 96–103°F window. No incoming fronts or major pattern shifts are expected before resolution, leaving trader sentiment anchored to the narrow forecast consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 30 de agosto?
98-99°F 41%
100-101°F 35%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 8%
89°F ou menos
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
35%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F ou mais
<1%
98-99°F 41%
100-101°F 35%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 8%
89°F ou menos
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
35%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Austin on August 30 project a sunny day under persistent upper-level ridging, with afternoon highs most likely reaching 98–101°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 98–99°F and 100–101°F brackets. Light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover or precipitation support peak temperatures several degrees above the late-August climatological normal of ~95°F. Minor model spread stems from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint profiles, which could nudge the daily maximum a degree or two higher or lower but keep outcomes inside the 96–103°F window. No incoming fronts or major pattern shifts are expected before resolution, leaving trader sentiment anchored to the narrow forecast consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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