Recent forecast data from multiple meteorological agencies show persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly winds suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, with official model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 25–26 °C. This atmospheric setup, featuring high humidity near 80–90 % and limited solar insolation, aligns closely with the market-implied 27 °C outcome at 99.6 % probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of ensemble guidance from sources such as the Japan Meteorological Agency and global numerical weather prediction runs. Historical late-August baselines for the region average closer to 30–31 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how today’s unsettled pattern has shifted expectations downward. A realistic challenge to this positioning would require rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a steering-pattern shift allowing greater radiative warming before sunset, though current observational trends make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio em 29 de agosto?
27°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
26°C <1%
29°C <1%
NOVO
$64,413 Vol.
NOVO
$64,413 Vol.
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
26°C <1%
29°C <1%
NOVO
$64,413 Vol.
NOVO
$64,413 Vol.
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
$1,251 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,468 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,377 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$24,713 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$9,742 Vol.
100%
28°C
$6,731 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5,194 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,827 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,050 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$3,868 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast data from multiple meteorological agencies show persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly winds suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, with official model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 25–26 °C. This atmospheric setup, featuring high humidity near 80–90 % and limited solar insolation, aligns closely with the market-implied 27 °C outcome at 99.6 % probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of ensemble guidance from sources such as the Japan Meteorological Agency and global numerical weather prediction runs. Historical late-August baselines for the region average closer to 30–31 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how today’s unsettled pattern has shifted expectations downward. A realistic challenge to this positioning would require rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a steering-pattern shift allowing greater radiative warming before sunset, though current observational trends make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$64,413Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast data from multiple meteorological agencies show persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly winds suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, with official model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 25–26 °C. This atmospheric setup, featuring high humidity near 80–90 % and limited solar insolation, aligns closely with the market-implied 27 °C outcome at 99.6 % probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of ensemble guidance from sources such as the Japan Meteorological Agency and global numerical weather prediction runs. Historical late-August baselines for the region average closer to 30–31 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how today’s unsettled pattern has shifted expectations downward. A realistic challenge to this positioning would require rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a steering-pattern shift allowing greater radiative warming before sunset, though current observational trends make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$64,413Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast data from multiple meteorological agencies show persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly winds suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, with official model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 25–26 °C. This atmospheric setup, featuring high humidity near 80–90 % and limited solar insolation, aligns closely with the market-implied 27 °C outcome at 99.6 % probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of ensemble guidance from sources such as the Japan Meteorological Agency and global numerical weather prediction runs. Historical late-August baselines for the region average closer to 30–31 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how today’s unsettled pattern has shifted expectations downward. A realistic challenge to this positioning would require rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a steering-pattern shift allowing greater radiative warming before sunset, though current observational trends make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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