**Current forecasts from multiple models show a high of 22–23°C in Paris on August 29 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers and southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h.** These conditions limit solar heating and align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 22°C (26.5%) and 23°C (39.5%), while the 24°C outcome (19%) remains plausible only if breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming. Persistent moisture and a trailing frontal boundary have kept recent daytime maxima several degrees below the late-August climatological average of ~24°C, suppressing the chance of 25°C or higher to just 5%. Updated model runs through the evening of August 28 continue to favor this cooler, unsettled regime, with official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble outputs reinforcing the 21–24°C envelope as the most probable range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris em 29 de agosto?
23°C 40%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 9%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
40%
24°C
20%
25°C or higher
5%
23°C 40%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 9%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
40%
24°C
20%
25°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models show a high of 22–23°C in Paris on August 29 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers and southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h.** These conditions limit solar heating and align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 22°C (26.5%) and 23°C (39.5%), while the 24°C outcome (19%) remains plausible only if breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming. Persistent moisture and a trailing frontal boundary have kept recent daytime maxima several degrees below the late-August climatological average of ~24°C, suppressing the chance of 25°C or higher to just 5%. Updated model runs through the evening of August 28 continue to favor this cooler, unsettled regime, with official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble outputs reinforcing the 21–24°C envelope as the most probable range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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