**Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models show overnight lows in Paris stabilizing at 16–17 °C on 29 August 2026 under mostly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and scattered light showers.** These conditions limit radiative cooling and advect milder maritime air, keeping the minimum above the long-term August average low of ~13.5 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5 % probability on 17 °C and 40 % on 16 °C aligns with this consensus guidance, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected clear-sky radiative plunge. The final recorded minimum will be determined by verified station data (e.g., Paris-Orly or Montsouris) once the 24-hour period closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris em 29 de agosto?
17°C 85%
16°C 21%
15°C 5%
14°C 2%
11°C ou menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
21%
17°C
85%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C ou mais
<1%
17°C 85%
16°C 21%
15°C 5%
14°C 2%
11°C ou menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
21%
17°C
85%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models show overnight lows in Paris stabilizing at 16–17 °C on 29 August 2026 under mostly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and scattered light showers.** These conditions limit radiative cooling and advect milder maritime air, keeping the minimum above the long-term August average low of ~13.5 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5 % probability on 17 °C and 40 % on 16 °C aligns with this consensus guidance, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected clear-sky radiative plunge. The final recorded minimum will be determined by verified station data (e.g., Paris-Orly or Montsouris) once the 24-hour period closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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