Recent official forecasts from GFS and other models, aligned with Météo-France guidance, center the August 30 high in Paris near 24°C under persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow, positioning that outcome as the market favorite. This reflects the late-August climatological average of 24.0°C at Paris-Le Bourget, tempered by an ongoing Atlantic-driven pattern that has suppressed daytime maxima by 2–4°C below norms through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from scattered showers. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C arise mainly from variable boundary-layer mixing and shower timing, while historical analogs from similar regimes rarely exceed 26°C. Traders appear to weight the latest model consensus heavily ahead of final observational resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 30 de agosto?
24°C 42%
25°C 26%
23°C 18%
26°C 7%
NOVO
$10,531 Vol.
NOVO
$10,531 Vol.
30 ago 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
6%
23°C
18%
24°C
42%
25°C
26%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
3%
24°C 42%
25°C 26%
23°C 18%
26°C 7%
NOVO
$10,531 Vol.
NOVO
$10,531 Vol.
30 ago 2026
17°C or below
$1,194 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$964 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$148 Vol.
1%
21°C
$84 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$586 Vol.
6%
23°C
$716 Vol.
18%
24°C
$721 Vol.
42%
25°C
$1,877 Vol.
26%
26°C
$2,242 Vol.
7%
27°C or higher
$814 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from GFS and other models, aligned with Météo-France guidance, center the August 30 high in Paris near 24°C under persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow, positioning that outcome as the market favorite. This reflects the late-August climatological average of 24.0°C at Paris-Le Bourget, tempered by an ongoing Atlantic-driven pattern that has suppressed daytime maxima by 2–4°C below norms through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from scattered showers. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C arise mainly from variable boundary-layer mixing and shower timing, while historical analogs from similar regimes rarely exceed 26°C. Traders appear to weight the latest model consensus heavily ahead of final observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$10,531Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from GFS and other models, aligned with Météo-France guidance, center the August 30 high in Paris near 24°C under persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow, positioning that outcome as the market favorite. This reflects the late-August climatological average of 24.0°C at Paris-Le Bourget, tempered by an ongoing Atlantic-driven pattern that has suppressed daytime maxima by 2–4°C below norms through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from scattered showers. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C arise mainly from variable boundary-layer mixing and shower timing, while historical analogs from similar regimes rarely exceed 26°C. Traders appear to weight the latest model consensus heavily ahead of final observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,531Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from GFS and other models, aligned with Météo-France guidance, center the August 30 high in Paris near 24°C under persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow, positioning that outcome as the market favorite. This reflects the late-August climatological average of 24.0°C at Paris-Le Bourget, tempered by an ongoing Atlantic-driven pattern that has suppressed daytime maxima by 2–4°C below norms through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from scattered showers. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C arise mainly from variable boundary-layer mixing and shower timing, while historical analogs from similar regimes rarely exceed 26°C. Traders appear to weight the latest model consensus heavily ahead of final observational resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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