Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a peak of 34–36°C in Guangzhou on August 29, driven by subtropical summer conditions with moderate northwest flow, high humidity near 65–80%, and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating. Afternoon thunderstorms, already active on August 28 with localized heavy rain, may cap maximums slightly below recent peaks while still supporting readings near the upper end of the normal 33–35°C August range. Recent model runs show minor spread, with some projecting 37°C under clearer skies and others holding at 34–35°C amid increased moisture. This uncertainty concentrates trader-implied odds on 35–37°C as the most probable outcomes before official observations finalize resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 29 de agosto?
36°C 42%
37°C 27%
35°C 19%
34°C 10%
$11,152 Vol.
$11,152 Vol.
31°C ou menos
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
10%
35°C
19%
36°C
42%
37°C
27%
38°C
7%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C ou mais
<1%
36°C 42%
37°C 27%
35°C 19%
34°C 10%
$11,152 Vol.
$11,152 Vol.
31°C ou menos
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
10%
35°C
19%
36°C
42%
37°C
27%
38°C
7%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a peak of 34–36°C in Guangzhou on August 29, driven by subtropical summer conditions with moderate northwest flow, high humidity near 65–80%, and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating. Afternoon thunderstorms, already active on August 28 with localized heavy rain, may cap maximums slightly below recent peaks while still supporting readings near the upper end of the normal 33–35°C August range. Recent model runs show minor spread, with some projecting 37°C under clearer skies and others holding at 34–35°C amid increased moisture. This uncertainty concentrates trader-implied odds on 35–37°C as the most probable outcomes before official observations finalize resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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