Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a sharp cooldown in Chongqing driven by cold air advection combined with widespread heavy rainfall beginning August 28–29, which is expected to limit daytime heating on the 30th. Official Chinese meteorological guidance points to maximum temperatures of 27–31 °C in western and central districts, with some ensemble members showing 26 °C or lower under persistent cloud cover and precipitation. Historical August normals near 31–34 °C provide context for the magnitude of this anomaly. Key variables include the precise timing and intensity of the frontal passage, total rainfall accumulation that enhances evaporative cooling, and any local urban heat-island effects. Market-implied odds reflect this forecast spread, with substantial probability mass between 26–28 °C amid ongoing model uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 30 de agosto?
26°C or below 31%
28°C 19%
27°C 18%
29°C 15%
26°C or below
31%
27°C
18%
28°C
19%
29°C
15%
30°C
9%
31°C
7%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
26°C or below 31%
28°C 19%
27°C 18%
29°C 15%
26°C or below
31%
27°C
18%
28°C
19%
29°C
15%
30°C
9%
31°C
7%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a sharp cooldown in Chongqing driven by cold air advection combined with widespread heavy rainfall beginning August 28–29, which is expected to limit daytime heating on the 30th. Official Chinese meteorological guidance points to maximum temperatures of 27–31 °C in western and central districts, with some ensemble members showing 26 °C or lower under persistent cloud cover and precipitation. Historical August normals near 31–34 °C provide context for the magnitude of this anomaly. Key variables include the precise timing and intensity of the frontal passage, total rainfall accumulation that enhances evaporative cooling, and any local urban heat-island effects. Market-implied odds reflect this forecast spread, with substantial probability mass between 26–28 °C amid ongoing model uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions