Consensus forecasts from multiple models and official monitoring indicate a Shanghai daily maximum of 31–32 °C on August 28, driven by persistent light rain, easterly flow, and cloud cover that limits afternoon solar heating amid late-summer monsoon conditions. Recent observations show comparable setups yielding highs near 32 °C, while climatological August averages hover around 31 °C with high humidity. These factors position 31 °C as the market leader at 54.5 % implied probability, with 32 °C as the secondary outcome. Updated model runs and any overnight radar trends will refine the final reading before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai em 28 de agosto?
31°C 55%
32°C 28%
30°C 16%
29°C 3%
$15,308 Vol.
$15,308 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
16%
31°C
55%
32°C
28%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 55%
32°C 28%
30°C 16%
29°C 3%
$15,308 Vol.
$15,308 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
16%
31°C
55%
32°C
28%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consensus forecasts from multiple models and official monitoring indicate a Shanghai daily maximum of 31–32 °C on August 28, driven by persistent light rain, easterly flow, and cloud cover that limits afternoon solar heating amid late-summer monsoon conditions. Recent observations show comparable setups yielding highs near 32 °C, while climatological August averages hover around 31 °C with high humidity. These factors position 31 °C as the market leader at 54.5 % implied probability, with 32 °C as the secondary outcome. Updated model runs and any overnight radar trends will refine the final reading before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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