Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 27 project daytime maxima of 27–32°C under southerly to southwesterly flow at 3–4 on the Beaufort scale, with scattered thunderstorms and showers expected to limit insolation and cap peaks. High relative humidity (70–95%) and cloud cover from monsoon trough influences favor 30–31°C outcomes most probable, though brief afternoon clearing could allow brief spikes to 32°C. Model consensus shows low variability in steering patterns, keeping 34°C+ or sub-29°C tails at low implied odds. Updated NHC and local guidance on any distant tropical cyclone effects will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 27 de agosto?
31°C 37%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
29°C 18%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
18%
30°C
26%
31°C
37%
32°C
22%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 37%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
29°C 18%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
18%
30°C
26%
31°C
37%
32°C
22%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 27 project daytime maxima of 27–32°C under southerly to southwesterly flow at 3–4 on the Beaufort scale, with scattered thunderstorms and showers expected to limit insolation and cap peaks. High relative humidity (70–95%) and cloud cover from monsoon trough influences favor 30–31°C outcomes most probable, though brief afternoon clearing could allow brief spikes to 32°C. Model consensus shows low variability in steering patterns, keeping 34°C+ or sub-29°C tails at low implied odds. Updated NHC and local guidance on any distant tropical cyclone effects will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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