Recent forecast models from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate sunny conditions with light easterly winds over Wuhan, sustaining daytime highs near 36–37°C on August 27 amid the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent high pressure and low precipitation risk support this range, consistent with August averages of 33–35°C and occasional peaks above 38°C. Trader consensus clustering on 37–39°C reflects model agreement on minimal cooling from humidity or cloud cover through the short-term window, while lower odds for extremes account for typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. Updated model runs ahead of the date could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns change.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 27 de agosto?
38°C 33%
39°C 27%
37°C 26%
36°C 9%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
9%
37°C
26%
38°C
33%
39°C
27%
40°C
5%
41°C
6%
42°C or higher
5%
38°C 33%
39°C 27%
37°C 26%
36°C 9%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
9%
37°C
26%
38°C
33%
39°C
27%
40°C
5%
41°C
6%
42°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate sunny conditions with light easterly winds over Wuhan, sustaining daytime highs near 36–37°C on August 27 amid the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent high pressure and low precipitation risk support this range, consistent with August averages of 33–35°C and occasional peaks above 38°C. Trader consensus clustering on 37–39°C reflects model agreement on minimal cooling from humidity or cloud cover through the short-term window, while lower odds for extremes account for typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. Updated model runs ahead of the date could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns change.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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