Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily high of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 27, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 35.5% for 31°C and 22.5% for 32°C. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms—typical of late-August East Asian monsoon conditions—limit daytime heating and keep maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 32°C. Light southerly winds and expected precipitation further moderate temperatures, reducing the chance of reaching 33°C or higher. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 27 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 27 de agosto?
31°C 36%
32°C 24%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
27 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
20%
31°C
36%
32°C
24%
33°C
12%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
32°C 24%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
27 ago 2026
25°C or below
$310 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$61 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$74 Vol.
6%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
20%
31°C
$15 Vol.
36%
32°C
$61 Vol.
24%
33°C
$98 Vol.
12%
34°C
$0 Vol.
6%
35°C or higher
$44 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily high of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 27, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 35.5% for 31°C and 22.5% for 32°C. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms—typical of late-August East Asian monsoon conditions—limit daytime heating and keep maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 32°C. Light southerly winds and expected precipitation further moderate temperatures, reducing the chance of reaching 33°C or higher. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$945Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily high of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 27, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 35.5% for 31°C and 22.5% for 32°C. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms—typical of late-August East Asian monsoon conditions—limit daytime heating and keep maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 32°C. Light southerly winds and expected precipitation further moderate temperatures, reducing the chance of reaching 33°C or higher. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$945Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily high of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 27, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 35.5% for 31°C and 22.5% for 32°C. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms—typical of late-August East Asian monsoon conditions—limit daytime heating and keep maxima near or slightly below the long-term August average of 32°C. Light southerly winds and expected precipitation further moderate temperatures, reducing the chance of reaching 33°C or higher. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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