Forecast models for Amsterdam show a tight cluster around 26–27°C as the most likely maximum on August 27, with traders assigning combined implied probability near 63% to those two outcomes. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs reflect modest uncertainty driven by variable North Sea breezes, boundary-layer mixing, and a weak high-pressure ridge that may limit daytime heating. Typical late-August baselines near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent upstream flow patterns support a modest positive anomaly. Traders weigh the potential for localized urban heat-island effects against possible cloud cover or stronger onshore winds that could cap the peak. New model cycles and KNMI updates over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift positioning before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 27 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 27 de agosto?
27°C 35%
26°C 29%
25°C 16%
28°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
27 ago 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
16%
26°C
29%
27°C
35%
28°C
14%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 35%
26°C 29%
25°C 16%
28°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
27 ago 2026
22°C or below
$10 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C
$28 Vol.
16%
26°C
$170 Vol.
29%
27°C
$26 Vol.
35%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou mais
$6 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Amsterdam show a tight cluster around 26–27°C as the most likely maximum on August 27, with traders assigning combined implied probability near 63% to those two outcomes. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs reflect modest uncertainty driven by variable North Sea breezes, boundary-layer mixing, and a weak high-pressure ridge that may limit daytime heating. Typical late-August baselines near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent upstream flow patterns support a modest positive anomaly. Traders weigh the potential for localized urban heat-island effects against possible cloud cover or stronger onshore winds that could cap the peak. New model cycles and KNMI updates over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$240Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Amsterdam show a tight cluster around 26–27°C as the most likely maximum on August 27, with traders assigning combined implied probability near 63% to those two outcomes. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs reflect modest uncertainty driven by variable North Sea breezes, boundary-layer mixing, and a weak high-pressure ridge that may limit daytime heating. Typical late-August baselines near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent upstream flow patterns support a modest positive anomaly. Traders weigh the potential for localized urban heat-island effects against possible cloud cover or stronger onshore winds that could cap the peak. New model cycles and KNMI updates over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$240Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Amsterdam show a tight cluster around 26–27°C as the most likely maximum on August 27, with traders assigning combined implied probability near 63% to those two outcomes. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs reflect modest uncertainty driven by variable North Sea breezes, boundary-layer mixing, and a weak high-pressure ridge that may limit daytime heating. Typical late-August baselines near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent upstream flow patterns support a modest positive anomaly. Traders weigh the potential for localized urban heat-island effects against possible cloud cover or stronger onshore winds that could cap the peak. New model cycles and KNMI updates over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift positioning before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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