**Current forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Wellington of 15–16°C on August 25, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 16°C (52.5%) and 17°C (27.5%).** Northwesterly winds, typical for the region, are expected to moderate temperatures by advecting milder air from the Tasman Sea, while mostly fine conditions and limited cloud cover support daytime warming above the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C. Official guidance from MetService and international models (e.g., Met Office) currently project a high near 15°C with low precipitation risk, though ensemble spreads allow for modest upward revisions if winds strengthen or insolation increases. Recent NIWA seasonal outlooks note temperatures are equally likely to be near or above average through late winter, providing a mild baseline that traders have incorporated into probabilities. Shifts in model consensus over the next 24 hours—particularly updated runs addressing wind speed or frontal timing—remain the key variable that could adjust implied odds between the 15°C and 17°C brackets before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 25 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 25 de agosto?
16°C 53%
17°C 28%
15°C 14%
18°C 4%
NOVO
$13,256 Vol.
NOVO
$13,256 Vol.
25 ago 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
14%
16°C
53%
17°C
28%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 53%
17°C 28%
15°C 14%
18°C 4%
NOVO
$13,256 Vol.
NOVO
$13,256 Vol.
25 ago 2026
10°C or below
$650 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$521 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$252 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,048 Vol.
2%
15°C
$2,164 Vol.
14%
16°C
$3,643 Vol.
53%
17°C
$2,303 Vol.
28%
18°C
$937 Vol.
4%
19°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$1,261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Wellington of 15–16°C on August 25, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 16°C (52.5%) and 17°C (27.5%).** Northwesterly winds, typical for the region, are expected to moderate temperatures by advecting milder air from the Tasman Sea, while mostly fine conditions and limited cloud cover support daytime warming above the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C. Official guidance from MetService and international models (e.g., Met Office) currently project a high near 15°C with low precipitation risk, though ensemble spreads allow for modest upward revisions if winds strengthen or insolation increases. Recent NIWA seasonal outlooks note temperatures are equally likely to be near or above average through late winter, providing a mild baseline that traders have incorporated into probabilities. Shifts in model consensus over the next 24 hours—particularly updated runs addressing wind speed or frontal timing—remain the key variable that could adjust implied odds between the 15°C and 17°C brackets before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,256Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Wellington of 15–16°C on August 25, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 16°C (52.5%) and 17°C (27.5%).** Northwesterly winds, typical for the region, are expected to moderate temperatures by advecting milder air from the Tasman Sea, while mostly fine conditions and limited cloud cover support daytime warming above the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C. Official guidance from MetService and international models (e.g., Met Office) currently project a high near 15°C with low precipitation risk, though ensemble spreads allow for modest upward revisions if winds strengthen or insolation increases. Recent NIWA seasonal outlooks note temperatures are equally likely to be near or above average through late winter, providing a mild baseline that traders have incorporated into probabilities. Shifts in model consensus over the next 24 hours—particularly updated runs addressing wind speed or frontal timing—remain the key variable that could adjust implied odds between the 15°C and 17°C brackets before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,256Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Wellington of 15–16°C on August 25, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 16°C (52.5%) and 17°C (27.5%).** Northwesterly winds, typical for the region, are expected to moderate temperatures by advecting milder air from the Tasman Sea, while mostly fine conditions and limited cloud cover support daytime warming above the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C. Official guidance from MetService and international models (e.g., Met Office) currently project a high near 15°C with low precipitation risk, though ensemble spreads allow for modest upward revisions if winds strengthen or insolation increases. Recent NIWA seasonal outlooks note temperatures are equally likely to be near or above average through late winter, providing a mild baseline that traders have incorporated into probabilities. Shifts in model consensus over the next 24 hours—particularly updated runs addressing wind speed or frontal timing—remain the key variable that could adjust implied odds between the 15°C and 17°C brackets before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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