Recent forecast models from European and Spanish agencies indicate cooler-than-average conditions for Madrid on August 27, 2026, driven by increased cloud cover, southwest winds, and a modest chance of showers that limit daytime solar heating and surface warming. This has shifted market-implied odds toward 23–25°C as the most likely maximum, well below the historical late-August average high near 30–32°C at central stations. Key variables include the exact degree of cloud opacity reducing insolation, timing and intensity of any precipitation, boundary-layer mixing from winds, and resolution criteria tied to official observations. High uncertainty persists as final model runs and AEMET guidance could still adjust the peak by 1–2°C before markets close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 27 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 27 de agosto?
24°C 32%
23°C 23%
25°C 23%
26°C 16%
NOVO
$14,232 Vol.
NOVO
$14,232 Vol.
27 ago 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
23%
24°C
32%
25°C
23%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 32%
23°C 23%
25°C 23%
26°C 16%
NOVO
$14,232 Vol.
NOVO
$14,232 Vol.
27 ago 2026
21°C or below
$397 Vol.
2%
22°C
$554 Vol.
6%
23°C
$2,300 Vol.
23%
24°C
$978 Vol.
32%
25°C
$1,368 Vol.
23%
26°C
$3,642 Vol.
16%
27°C
$1,467 Vol.
3%
28°C
$338 Vol.
1%
29°C
$690 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$656 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,842 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from European and Spanish agencies indicate cooler-than-average conditions for Madrid on August 27, 2026, driven by increased cloud cover, southwest winds, and a modest chance of showers that limit daytime solar heating and surface warming. This has shifted market-implied odds toward 23–25°C as the most likely maximum, well below the historical late-August average high near 30–32°C at central stations. Key variables include the exact degree of cloud opacity reducing insolation, timing and intensity of any precipitation, boundary-layer mixing from winds, and resolution criteria tied to official observations. High uncertainty persists as final model runs and AEMET guidance could still adjust the peak by 1–2°C before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$14,232Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from European and Spanish agencies indicate cooler-than-average conditions for Madrid on August 27, 2026, driven by increased cloud cover, southwest winds, and a modest chance of showers that limit daytime solar heating and surface warming. This has shifted market-implied odds toward 23–25°C as the most likely maximum, well below the historical late-August average high near 30–32°C at central stations. Key variables include the exact degree of cloud opacity reducing insolation, timing and intensity of any precipitation, boundary-layer mixing from winds, and resolution criteria tied to official observations. High uncertainty persists as final model runs and AEMET guidance could still adjust the peak by 1–2°C before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,232Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from European and Spanish agencies indicate cooler-than-average conditions for Madrid on August 27, 2026, driven by increased cloud cover, southwest winds, and a modest chance of showers that limit daytime solar heating and surface warming. This has shifted market-implied odds toward 23–25°C as the most likely maximum, well below the historical late-August average high near 30–32°C at central stations. Key variables include the exact degree of cloud opacity reducing insolation, timing and intensity of any precipitation, boundary-layer mixing from winds, and resolution criteria tied to official observations. High uncertainty persists as final model runs and AEMET guidance could still adjust the peak by 1–2°C before markets close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions