Recent forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service and global ensembles point to a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 27 near 16–18°C under clearing skies, light northerly flow, and high pressure, following several cooler days with recorded lows around 13°C earlier in the month. This setup aligns with climatological norms for late austral winter at the city's elevation, where radiative cooling overnight typically produces the daily minimum just before dawn. Trader emphasis on 10°C or below reflects residual uncertainty from model spread and recent variability, while probabilities clustered around 15–16°C capture the consensus trajectory ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Paulo no dia 27 de agosto?
10°C ou menos 90%
19°C 33%
16°C 30%
15°C 30%
10°C ou menos
90%
11°C
10%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
30%
16°C
30%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
33%
20°C ou mais
2%
10°C ou menos 90%
19°C 33%
16°C 30%
15°C 30%
10°C ou menos
90%
11°C
10%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
30%
16°C
30%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
33%
20°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service and global ensembles point to a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 27 near 16–18°C under clearing skies, light northerly flow, and high pressure, following several cooler days with recorded lows around 13°C earlier in the month. This setup aligns with climatological norms for late austral winter at the city's elevation, where radiative cooling overnight typically produces the daily minimum just before dawn. Trader emphasis on 10°C or below reflects residual uncertainty from model spread and recent variability, while probabilities clustered around 15–16°C capture the consensus trajectory ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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