**Forecast models and official guidance point to a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Kuala Lumpur on August 28, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities (52% for 33°C, 34.5% for 34°C).** Official Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts list a maximum of 34°C under hazy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms, while multiple global models (including those referenced by WeatherBug, Met Office, and Yr.no) converge on afternoon highs near 32–33°C (roughly 90–92°F). These outcomes reflect typical southwest monsoon patterns in late August, where high solar radiation is often offset by building convective cloud cover and scattered showers that prevent extreme surface heating. Recent developments reinforce this range: persistent haze and thunderstorm activity observed on August 27 have carried into the forecast period, with dew points near 24–25°C indicating limited additional warming potential. Historical August maxima in Kuala Lumpur average around 33°C, and the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky anomalies in current model runs supports trader consensus around these central values rather than outliers above 35°C or below 32°C. Updated model runs and any afternoon radar trends on the 28th will be the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Kuala Lumpur em 28 de agosto?
33°C 53%
34°C 35%
35°C 7%
31°C 2%
$31,262 Vol.
$31,262 Vol.
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
53%
34°C
35%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 53%
34°C 35%
35°C 7%
31°C 2%
$31,262 Vol.
$31,262 Vol.
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
53%
34°C
35%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance point to a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Kuala Lumpur on August 28, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities (52% for 33°C, 34.5% for 34°C).** Official Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts list a maximum of 34°C under hazy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms, while multiple global models (including those referenced by WeatherBug, Met Office, and Yr.no) converge on afternoon highs near 32–33°C (roughly 90–92°F). These outcomes reflect typical southwest monsoon patterns in late August, where high solar radiation is often offset by building convective cloud cover and scattered showers that prevent extreme surface heating. Recent developments reinforce this range: persistent haze and thunderstorm activity observed on August 27 have carried into the forecast period, with dew points near 24–25°C indicating limited additional warming potential. Historical August maxima in Kuala Lumpur average around 33°C, and the absence of strong subsidence or clear-sky anomalies in current model runs supports trader consensus around these central values rather than outliers above 35°C or below 32°C. Updated model runs and any afternoon radar trends on the 28th will be the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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