**Forecast consensus for Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, centers on a maximum of 21–23°C, directly supporting the market’s top-priced outcomes of 22°C (40.5%), 23°C (29.0%), and 21°C (23.5%).** Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance referenced in public forecasts, indicate southwesterly flow under a low-pressure influence will advect cooler maritime air across the Netherlands, with daytime highs limited by widespread cloud cover, showers (40–60% probability), and winds of 15–17 mph that promote mixing and suppress surface heating. This pattern follows a warmer Thursday (27th) and aligns with climatological norms for late August near Schiphol (typical highs ~21–22°C). Official outlooks from sources such as the Met Office and KNMI point to maxima near 22°C amid unsettled conditions, with precipitation further capping temperatures by reducing insolation. The modest spread in probabilities reflects residual model uncertainty around exact cloud timing and shower intensity, but the narrow clustering around 21–23°C explains why outcomes outside this range carry far lower implied odds. New model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will be the primary drivers of any shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 29 de agosto?
22°C 41%
23°C 29%
21°C 24%
20°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
24%
22°C
41%
23°C
29%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C ou mais
1%
22°C 41%
23°C 29%
21°C 24%
20°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
17°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$6 Vol.
5%
20°C
$218 Vol.
5%
21°C
$36 Vol.
24%
22°C
$131 Vol.
41%
23°C
$53 Vol.
29%
24°C
$1 Vol.
5%
25°C
$4 Vol.
3%
26°C
$5 Vol.
1%
27°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, centers on a maximum of 21–23°C, directly supporting the market’s top-priced outcomes of 22°C (40.5%), 23°C (29.0%), and 21°C (23.5%).** Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance referenced in public forecasts, indicate southwesterly flow under a low-pressure influence will advect cooler maritime air across the Netherlands, with daytime highs limited by widespread cloud cover, showers (40–60% probability), and winds of 15–17 mph that promote mixing and suppress surface heating.
This pattern follows a warmer Thursday (27th) and aligns with climatological norms for late August near Schiphol (typical highs ~21–22°C). Official outlooks from sources such as the Met Office and KNMI point to maxima near 22°C amid unsettled conditions, with precipitation further capping temperatures by reducing insolation. The modest spread in probabilities reflects residual model uncertainty around exact cloud timing and shower intensity, but the narrow clustering around 21–23°C explains why outcomes outside this range carry far lower implied odds. New model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will be the primary drivers of any shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$453Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, centers on a maximum of 21–23°C, directly supporting the market’s top-priced outcomes of 22°C (40.5%), 23°C (29.0%), and 21°C (23.5%).** Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance referenced in public forecasts, indicate southwesterly flow under a low-pressure influence will advect cooler maritime air across the Netherlands, with daytime highs limited by widespread cloud cover, showers (40–60% probability), and winds of 15–17 mph that promote mixing and suppress surface heating.
This pattern follows a warmer Thursday (27th) and aligns with climatological norms for late August near Schiphol (typical highs ~21–22°C). Official outlooks from sources such as the Met Office and KNMI point to maxima near 22°C amid unsettled conditions, with precipitation further capping temperatures by reducing insolation. The modest spread in probabilities reflects residual model uncertainty around exact cloud timing and shower intensity, but the narrow clustering around 21–23°C explains why outcomes outside this range carry far lower implied odds. New model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will be the primary drivers of any shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$453Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, centers on a maximum of 21–23°C, directly supporting the market’s top-priced outcomes of 22°C (40.5%), 23°C (29.0%), and 21°C (23.5%).** Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance referenced in public forecasts, indicate southwesterly flow under a low-pressure influence will advect cooler maritime air across the Netherlands, with daytime highs limited by widespread cloud cover, showers (40–60% probability), and winds of 15–17 mph that promote mixing and suppress surface heating. This pattern follows a warmer Thursday (27th) and aligns with climatological norms for late August near Schiphol (typical highs ~21–22°C). Official outlooks from sources such as the Met Office and KNMI point to maxima near 22°C amid unsettled conditions, with precipitation further capping temperatures by reducing insolation. The modest spread in probabilities reflects residual model uncertainty around exact cloud timing and shower intensity, but the narrow clustering around 21–23°C explains why outcomes outside this range carry far lower implied odds. New model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will be the primary drivers of any shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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