Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and moderate southwesterly winds associated with a passing frontal system are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Amsterdam, keeping the minimum temperature close to the forecast range of 16–17 °C. High humidity near 85–95 % and dew points around 15–16 °C further suppress temperature drops, while historical August 29 averages of 12.5 °C provide context for the mild conditions. Numerical models show minor spread on exact timing of any temporary clearing or wind lull that could allow a brief dip toward 15 °C versus stabilization near 17 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these three outcomes reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observations from official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão a 29 de agosto?
15°C 51%
17°C 46%
12°C or below 13%
14°C 8%
$9,879 Vol.
$9,879 Vol.
12°C or below
13%
13°C
7%
14°C
8%
15°C
51%
16°C
48%
17°C
46%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
15°C 51%
17°C 46%
12°C or below 13%
14°C 8%
$9,879 Vol.
$9,879 Vol.
12°C or below
13%
13°C
7%
14°C
8%
15°C
51%
16°C
48%
17°C
46%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and moderate southwesterly winds associated with a passing frontal system are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Amsterdam, keeping the minimum temperature close to the forecast range of 16–17 °C. High humidity near 85–95 % and dew points around 15–16 °C further suppress temperature drops, while historical August 29 averages of 12.5 °C provide context for the mild conditions. Numerical models show minor spread on exact timing of any temporary clearing or wind lull that could allow a brief dip toward 15 °C versus stabilization near 17 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these three outcomes reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observations from official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions