Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a maximum of 21°C in London on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of rain, and southerly flow that restricts solar heating and keeps temperatures near seasonal norms. This aligns with the market's leading 21°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability, ahead of 20°C and 22°C, as atmospheric conditions favor modest daytime warming rather than the clearer, warmer setup seen on August 28. Updated model consensus shows low likelihood of exceeding 23°C or falling below 19°C given the current steering patterns and moisture. Final resolution depends on verified observations at primary stations, with any late forecast shifts from new runs likely to influence remaining trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 29 de agosto?
21°C 44%
20°C 28%
22°C 15%
19°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
11%
20°C
28%
21°C
44%
22°C
15%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 44%
20°C 28%
22°C 15%
19°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
16°C or below
$132 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$222 Vol.
1%
18°C
$310 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,282 Vol.
11%
20°C
$1,921 Vol.
28%
21°C
$3,074 Vol.
44%
22°C
$716 Vol.
15%
23°C
$872 Vol.
4%
24°C
$619 Vol.
2%
25°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$152 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a maximum of 21°C in London on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of rain, and southerly flow that restricts solar heating and keeps temperatures near seasonal norms. This aligns with the market's leading 21°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability, ahead of 20°C and 22°C, as atmospheric conditions favor modest daytime warming rather than the clearer, warmer setup seen on August 28. Updated model consensus shows low likelihood of exceeding 23°C or falling below 19°C given the current steering patterns and moisture. Final resolution depends on verified observations at primary stations, with any late forecast shifts from new runs likely to influence remaining trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$9,678Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a maximum of 21°C in London on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of rain, and southerly flow that restricts solar heating and keeps temperatures near seasonal norms. This aligns with the market's leading 21°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability, ahead of 20°C and 22°C, as atmospheric conditions favor modest daytime warming rather than the clearer, warmer setup seen on August 28. Updated model consensus shows low likelihood of exceeding 23°C or falling below 19°C given the current steering patterns and moisture. Final resolution depends on verified observations at primary stations, with any late forecast shifts from new runs likely to influence remaining trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,678Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a maximum of 21°C in London on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of rain, and southerly flow that restricts solar heating and keeps temperatures near seasonal norms. This aligns with the market's leading 21°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability, ahead of 20°C and 22°C, as atmospheric conditions favor modest daytime warming rather than the clearer, warmer setup seen on August 28. Updated model consensus shows low likelihood of exceeding 23°C or falling below 19°C given the current steering patterns and moisture. Final resolution depends on verified observations at primary stations, with any late forecast shifts from new runs likely to influence remaining trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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