Forecasts from the UK Met Office and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in London on August 28 will likely fall between 15–17°C, driven by southwesterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers moderating radiative cooling. Model consensus shows limited spread due to the short lead time, though variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind speeds could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 14–15°C, providing context for current conditions. Updated model runs and official Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will further constrain resolution criteria for these tightly matched market-implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres em 28 de agosto?
11°C ou menos 100%
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
11°C ou menos
100%
12°C
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C
100%
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
100%
20°C
100%
21°C ou mais
100%
11°C ou menos 100%
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
11°C ou menos
100%
12°C
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C
100%
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
100%
20°C
100%
21°C ou mais
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the UK Met Office and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in London on August 28 will likely fall between 15–17°C, driven by southwesterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers moderating radiative cooling. Model consensus shows limited spread due to the short lead time, though variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind speeds could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 14–15°C, providing context for current conditions. Updated model runs and official Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will further constrain resolution criteria for these tightly matched market-implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions