Recent forecasts from the Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather indicate London overnight lows of 17–19°C on August 26, 2026, with the minimum likely occurring just before dawn under partly cloudy or light-shower conditions. Mild air masses and limited radiative cooling—driven by above-average seasonal sea-surface temperatures and a lingering warm summer pattern—support this narrow range, as minimum temperatures have run 1–2°C above the long-term average through much of 2026. Model consensus shows light southerly or easterly flow preventing sharp drops, while any cloud cover or scattered showers could nudge the low slightly higher. Traders have concentrated probability on 17–19°C because these align with the latest official guidance and historical analogs for late-August clear or showery nights; lower outcomes remain improbable without an unexpected cold advection event. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres em 26 de agosto?
18°C 43%
17°C 29%
19°C 28%
16°C 6%
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
29%
18°C
43%
19°C
28%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C ou mais
<1%
18°C 43%
17°C 29%
19°C 28%
16°C 6%
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
29%
18°C
43%
19°C
28%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather indicate London overnight lows of 17–19°C on August 26, 2026, with the minimum likely occurring just before dawn under partly cloudy or light-shower conditions. Mild air masses and limited radiative cooling—driven by above-average seasonal sea-surface temperatures and a lingering warm summer pattern—support this narrow range, as minimum temperatures have run 1–2°C above the long-term average through much of 2026. Model consensus shows light southerly or easterly flow preventing sharp drops, while any cloud cover or scattered showers could nudge the low slightly higher. Traders have concentrated probability on 17–19°C because these align with the latest official guidance and historical analogs for late-August clear or showery nights; lower outcomes remain improbable without an unexpected cold advection event. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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