Uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates under variable high-pressure influences and potential moisture from lingering monsoon patterns is driving the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 58–63°F for Denver’s minimum temperature on August 26. At roughly 5,280 feet elevation, Denver experiences amplified diurnal swings, where clear skies accelerate longwave heat loss after daytime highs near seasonal norms of 86°F, while even modest cloud cover or humidity from scattered thunderstorms can limit drops by several degrees. NOAA and NWS guidance shows model consensus near the 56–64°F historical range for late August but with spread tied to exact wind and dewpoint forecasts. Fresh model runs expected later today could sharpen resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Denver em 26 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Denver em 26 de agosto?
52-53°F 43%
60-61°F 34%
62-63°F 31%
58-59°F 28%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
51°F or below
5%
52-53°F
43%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
23%
58-59°F
28%
60-61°F
34%
62-63°F
31%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70°F ou mais
8%
52-53°F 43%
60-61°F 34%
62-63°F 31%
58-59°F 28%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
51°F or below
$5 Vol.
5%
52-53°F
$5 Vol.
43%
54-55°F
$5 Vol.
25%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
23%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
28%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
34%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
31%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
25%
66-67°F
$20 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
2%
70°F ou mais
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates under variable high-pressure influences and potential moisture from lingering monsoon patterns is driving the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 58–63°F for Denver’s minimum temperature on August 26. At roughly 5,280 feet elevation, Denver experiences amplified diurnal swings, where clear skies accelerate longwave heat loss after daytime highs near seasonal norms of 86°F, while even modest cloud cover or humidity from scattered thunderstorms can limit drops by several degrees. NOAA and NWS guidance shows model consensus near the 56–64°F historical range for late August but with spread tied to exact wind and dewpoint forecasts. Fresh model runs expected later today could sharpen resolution criteria around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$45Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates under variable high-pressure influences and potential moisture from lingering monsoon patterns is driving the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 58–63°F for Denver’s minimum temperature on August 26. At roughly 5,280 feet elevation, Denver experiences amplified diurnal swings, where clear skies accelerate longwave heat loss after daytime highs near seasonal norms of 86°F, while even modest cloud cover or humidity from scattered thunderstorms can limit drops by several degrees. NOAA and NWS guidance shows model consensus near the 56–64°F historical range for late August but with spread tied to exact wind and dewpoint forecasts. Fresh model runs expected later today could sharpen resolution criteria around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates under variable high-pressure influences and potential moisture from lingering monsoon patterns is driving the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 58–63°F for Denver’s minimum temperature on August 26. At roughly 5,280 feet elevation, Denver experiences amplified diurnal swings, where clear skies accelerate longwave heat loss after daytime highs near seasonal norms of 86°F, while even modest cloud cover or humidity from scattered thunderstorms can limit drops by several degrees. NOAA and NWS guidance shows model consensus near the 56–64°F historical range for late August but with spread tied to exact wind and dewpoint forecasts. Fresh model runs expected later today could sharpen resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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