Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather place Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 27 near 27–29 °C under sunny skies and a fresh north-easterly breeze. These values align with late-August climatology, when average highs range 27–30 °C but are modulated by Black Sea marine air intrusions that often cap readings at or below 28 °C. Model consensus currently favors the 27 °C bin as the most probable outcome, reflected in its 41 % market-implied probability, while the 28 °C and 26 °C options capture residual uncertainty from possible cloud cover or slight wind shifts. No significant heat-wave signals or anomalous southerly flow appear in the latest guidance, keeping higher thresholds (30 °C+) at low single-digit probabilities. New model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours will provide the final data for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul em 27 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul em 27 de agosto?
27°C 41%
28°C 33%
26°C 27%
29°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
27 ago 2026
23°C or below
5%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
27%
27°C
41%
28°C
31%
29°C
11%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
28°C 33%
26°C 27%
29°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
27 ago 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
5%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$6 Vol.
27%
27°C
$10 Vol.
41%
28°C
$11 Vol.
31%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather place Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 27 near 27–29 °C under sunny skies and a fresh north-easterly breeze. These values align with late-August climatology, when average highs range 27–30 °C but are modulated by Black Sea marine air intrusions that often cap readings at or below 28 °C. Model consensus currently favors the 27 °C bin as the most probable outcome, reflected in its 41 % market-implied probability, while the 28 °C and 26 °C options capture residual uncertainty from possible cloud cover or slight wind shifts. No significant heat-wave signals or anomalous southerly flow appear in the latest guidance, keeping higher thresholds (30 °C+) at low single-digit probabilities. New model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$27Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather place Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 27 near 27–29 °C under sunny skies and a fresh north-easterly breeze. These values align with late-August climatology, when average highs range 27–30 °C but are modulated by Black Sea marine air intrusions that often cap readings at or below 28 °C. Model consensus currently favors the 27 °C bin as the most probable outcome, reflected in its 41 % market-implied probability, while the 28 °C and 26 °C options capture residual uncertainty from possible cloud cover or slight wind shifts. No significant heat-wave signals or anomalous southerly flow appear in the latest guidance, keeping higher thresholds (30 °C+) at low single-digit probabilities. New model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather place Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 27 near 27–29 °C under sunny skies and a fresh north-easterly breeze. These values align with late-August climatology, when average highs range 27–30 °C but are modulated by Black Sea marine air intrusions that often cap readings at or below 28 °C. Model consensus currently favors the 27 °C bin as the most probable outcome, reflected in its 41 % market-implied probability, while the 28 °C and 26 °C options capture residual uncertainty from possible cloud cover or slight wind shifts. No significant heat-wave signals or anomalous southerly flow appear in the latest guidance, keeping higher thresholds (30 °C+) at low single-digit probabilities. New model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours will provide the final data for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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