Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance forecasts a daytime high of 35°C in Tokyo on August 26, with morning clearing and only modest afternoon shower chances (10–30% probability). This places the outcome near the market’s top two probabilities (34°C at 33.5%, 35°C at 28.5%). Key differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover and convective timing: stronger insolation under partly sunny skies could push the official station reading to 36°C, while earlier or heavier showers would cap it at 33–34°C. Historical late-August climatology shows Tokyo maxima averaging near 31–32°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal heat with limited steering flow and high boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and any revised JMA bulletins issued overnight will be the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in trader sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio em 26 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio em 26 de agosto?
34°C 34%
35°C 29%
36°C 15%
33°C 14%
NOVO
$10,809 Vol.
NOVO
$10,809 Vol.
26 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
14%
34°C
34%
35°C
29%
36°C
15%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 34%
35°C 29%
36°C 15%
33°C 14%
NOVO
$10,809 Vol.
NOVO
$10,809 Vol.
26 ago 2026
28°C or below
$1,354 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,454 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$440 Vol.
2%
32°C
$274 Vol.
4%
33°C
$314 Vol.
14%
34°C
$580 Vol.
34%
35°C
$907 Vol.
29%
36°C
$1,232 Vol.
15%
37°C
$211 Vol.
4%
38°C or higher
$3,847 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance forecasts a daytime high of 35°C in Tokyo on August 26, with morning clearing and only modest afternoon shower chances (10–30% probability). This places the outcome near the market’s top two probabilities (34°C at 33.5%, 35°C at 28.5%). Key differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover and convective timing: stronger insolation under partly sunny skies could push the official station reading to 36°C, while earlier or heavier showers would cap it at 33–34°C. Historical late-August climatology shows Tokyo maxima averaging near 31–32°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal heat with limited steering flow and high boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and any revised JMA bulletins issued overnight will be the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,809Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance forecasts a daytime high of 35°C in Tokyo on August 26, with morning clearing and only modest afternoon shower chances (10–30% probability). This places the outcome near the market’s top two probabilities (34°C at 33.5%, 35°C at 28.5%). Key differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover and convective timing: stronger insolation under partly sunny skies could push the official station reading to 36°C, while earlier or heavier showers would cap it at 33–34°C. Historical late-August climatology shows Tokyo maxima averaging near 31–32°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal heat with limited steering flow and high boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and any revised JMA bulletins issued overnight will be the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,809Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance forecasts a daytime high of 35°C in Tokyo on August 26, with morning clearing and only modest afternoon shower chances (10–30% probability). This places the outcome near the market’s top two probabilities (34°C at 33.5%, 35°C at 28.5%). Key differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover and convective timing: stronger insolation under partly sunny skies could push the official station reading to 36°C, while earlier or heavier showers would cap it at 33–34°C. Historical late-August climatology shows Tokyo maxima averaging near 31–32°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal heat with limited steering flow and high boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and any revised JMA bulletins issued overnight will be the primary near-term catalysts for shifts in trader sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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