Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Seattle point to a highest temperature near 77°F on August 24, with modest warming potential from a strengthening El Niño pattern that favors above-average late-summer conditions across the Pacific Northwest. Marine air influence and northwest winds typically moderate peaks, keeping most outcomes clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s, while historical averages near 76°F provide context for the modest upside bias. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 78–81°F bins align with recent model runs showing slight positive anomalies and limited precipitation risk, though rapid shifts in onshore flow or cloud cover could pull readings lower before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seattle em 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Seattle em 24 de agosto?
78-79°F 42%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 21%
82-83°F 7%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 42%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 21%
82-83°F 7%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
67°F or below
$152 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$237 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$464 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$84 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$208 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$985 Vol.
21%
78-79°F
$140 Vol.
42%
80-81°F
$726 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$116 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$189 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$50 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Seattle point to a highest temperature near 77°F on August 24, with modest warming potential from a strengthening El Niño pattern that favors above-average late-summer conditions across the Pacific Northwest. Marine air influence and northwest winds typically moderate peaks, keeping most outcomes clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s, while historical averages near 76°F provide context for the modest upside bias. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 78–81°F bins align with recent model runs showing slight positive anomalies and limited precipitation risk, though rapid shifts in onshore flow or cloud cover could pull readings lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,351Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Seattle point to a highest temperature near 77°F on August 24, with modest warming potential from a strengthening El Niño pattern that favors above-average late-summer conditions across the Pacific Northwest. Marine air influence and northwest winds typically moderate peaks, keeping most outcomes clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s, while historical averages near 76°F provide context for the modest upside bias. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 78–81°F bins align with recent model runs showing slight positive anomalies and limited precipitation risk, though rapid shifts in onshore flow or cloud cover could pull readings lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,351Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Seattle point to a highest temperature near 77°F on August 24, with modest warming potential from a strengthening El Niño pattern that favors above-average late-summer conditions across the Pacific Northwest. Marine air influence and northwest winds typically moderate peaks, keeping most outcomes clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s, while historical averages near 76°F provide context for the modest upside bias. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 78–81°F bins align with recent model runs showing slight positive anomalies and limited precipitation risk, though rapid shifts in onshore flow or cloud cover could pull readings lower before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions