Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and multiple numerical models converge on a daytime high of 18–20°C in Moscow on August 28 under variable cloudiness, northerly winds of 3–8 m/s, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions limit strong solar heating while stable high pressure supports modest afternoon warming to around 19°C, the market's leading outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Cooler overnight lows near 10–12°C and a climatological late-August baseline near 19–21°C further anchor expectations, with slight upside potential to 20°C if cloud cover clears more than anticipated. Model consensus and the absence of major forecast shifts overnight keep probabilities tightly clustered on 18–20°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 28 de agosto?
19°C 50%
20°C 31%
18°C 12%
21°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
12%
19°C
50%
20°C
31%
21°C
7%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 50%
20°C 31%
18°C 12%
21°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
12%
19°C
50%
20°C
31%
21°C
7%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and multiple numerical models converge on a daytime high of 18–20°C in Moscow on August 28 under variable cloudiness, northerly winds of 3–8 m/s, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions limit strong solar heating while stable high pressure supports modest afternoon warming to around 19°C, the market's leading outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Cooler overnight lows near 10–12°C and a climatological late-August baseline near 19–21°C further anchor expectations, with slight upside potential to 20°C if cloud cover clears more than anticipated. Model consensus and the absence of major forecast shifts overnight keep probabilities tightly clustered on 18–20°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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