Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international providers converge on a peak temperature of 31–33°C for Ankara on August 27, driven by persistent clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and strong daytime solar insolation typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (52%) and 33°C (33.5%), with 31°C as a secondary possibility if boundary-layer mixing is slightly stronger. No significant cloud cover or precipitation is expected to moderate temperatures, while historical August extremes in the region rarely exceed 34°C under similar setups. Updated model runs through the evening of August 26 have shown little deviation, keeping lower-probability outcomes (34°C or above, or 30°C or below) at minimal implied odds ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 27 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Ancara em 27 de agosto?
32°C 53%
33°C 32%
31°C 15%
34°C 4%
NOVO
$11,564 Vol.
NOVO
$11,564 Vol.
27 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
15%
32°C
53%
33°C
32%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 53%
33°C 32%
31°C 15%
34°C 4%
NOVO
$11,564 Vol.
NOVO
$11,564 Vol.
27 ago 2026
28°C or below
$685 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$900 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,748 Vol.
15%
32°C
$1,677 Vol.
53%
33°C
$2,711 Vol.
32%
34°C
$1,025 Vol.
4%
35°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$518 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$565 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$386 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international providers converge on a peak temperature of 31–33°C for Ankara on August 27, driven by persistent clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and strong daytime solar insolation typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (52%) and 33°C (33.5%), with 31°C as a secondary possibility if boundary-layer mixing is slightly stronger. No significant cloud cover or precipitation is expected to moderate temperatures, while historical August extremes in the region rarely exceed 34°C under similar setups. Updated model runs through the evening of August 26 have shown little deviation, keeping lower-probability outcomes (34°C or above, or 30°C or below) at minimal implied odds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,564Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international providers converge on a peak temperature of 31–33°C for Ankara on August 27, driven by persistent clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and strong daytime solar insolation typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (52%) and 33°C (33.5%), with 31°C as a secondary possibility if boundary-layer mixing is slightly stronger. No significant cloud cover or precipitation is expected to moderate temperatures, while historical August extremes in the region rarely exceed 34°C under similar setups. Updated model runs through the evening of August 26 have shown little deviation, keeping lower-probability outcomes (34°C or above, or 30°C or below) at minimal implied odds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,564Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international providers converge on a peak temperature of 31–33°C for Ankara on August 27, driven by persistent clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and strong daytime solar insolation typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (52%) and 33°C (33.5%), with 31°C as a secondary possibility if boundary-layer mixing is slightly stronger. No significant cloud cover or precipitation is expected to moderate temperatures, while historical August extremes in the region rarely exceed 34°C under similar setups. Updated model runs through the evening of August 26 have shown little deviation, keeping lower-probability outcomes (34°C or above, or 30°C or below) at minimal implied odds ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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