**Persistent southwest monsoon activity, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, is suppressing daytime heating in Metro Manila and anchoring forecast highs for August 29 near 28–29 °C.** Official PAGASA outlooks and multiple numerical models (including recent runs referenced in extended forecasts) show widespread cloud cover, scattered to widespread thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. This keeps maximum temperatures from climbing toward 31 °C or higher while preventing significant cooling below 27 °C. Historical August climatology for Manila places average highs near 31 °C, but the active monsoon phase this week has already produced daily maxima in the 28–30 °C range, reinforcing trader confidence in the 28–30 °C band that now accounts for roughly 85 % of the market-implied probability. No rapid clearing or intensification signals appear in the latest guidance before the 29th, so near-term model consensus continues to favor the narrow 28–29 °C window as the most probable outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila em 29 de agosto?
29°C 42%
28°C 31%
30°C 14%
27°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
31%
29°C
42%
30°C
14%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C ou mais
2%
29°C 42%
28°C 31%
30°C 14%
27°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$68 Vol.
2%
26°C
$77 Vol.
4%
27°C
$449 Vol.
8%
28°C
$1,737 Vol.
31%
29°C
$860 Vol.
42%
30°C
$228 Vol.
14%
31°C
$179 Vol.
4%
32°C
$233 Vol.
2%
33°C ou mais
$105 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon activity, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, is suppressing daytime heating in Metro Manila and anchoring forecast highs for August 29 near 28–29 °C.**
Official PAGASA outlooks and multiple numerical models (including recent runs referenced in extended forecasts) show widespread cloud cover, scattered to widespread thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. This keeps maximum temperatures from climbing toward 31 °C or higher while preventing significant cooling below 27 °C. Historical August climatology for Manila places average highs near 31 °C, but the active monsoon phase this week has already produced daily maxima in the 28–30 °C range, reinforcing trader confidence in the 28–30 °C band that now accounts for roughly 85 % of the market-implied probability.
No rapid clearing or intensification signals appear in the latest guidance before the 29th, so near-term model consensus continues to favor the narrow 28–29 °C window as the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$3,936Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon activity, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, is suppressing daytime heating in Metro Manila and anchoring forecast highs for August 29 near 28–29 °C.**
Official PAGASA outlooks and multiple numerical models (including recent runs referenced in extended forecasts) show widespread cloud cover, scattered to widespread thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. This keeps maximum temperatures from climbing toward 31 °C or higher while preventing significant cooling below 27 °C. Historical August climatology for Manila places average highs near 31 °C, but the active monsoon phase this week has already produced daily maxima in the 28–30 °C range, reinforcing trader confidence in the 28–30 °C band that now accounts for roughly 85 % of the market-implied probability.
No rapid clearing or intensification signals appear in the latest guidance before the 29th, so near-term model consensus continues to favor the narrow 28–29 °C window as the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,936Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon activity, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, is suppressing daytime heating in Metro Manila and anchoring forecast highs for August 29 near 28–29 °C.** Official PAGASA outlooks and multiple numerical models (including recent runs referenced in extended forecasts) show widespread cloud cover, scattered to widespread thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling. This keeps maximum temperatures from climbing toward 31 °C or higher while preventing significant cooling below 27 °C. Historical August climatology for Manila places average highs near 31 °C, but the active monsoon phase this week has already produced daily maxima in the 28–30 °C range, reinforcing trader confidence in the 28–30 °C band that now accounts for roughly 85 % of the market-implied probability. No rapid clearing or intensification signals appear in the latest guidance before the 29th, so near-term model consensus continues to favor the narrow 28–29 °C window as the most probable outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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