Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives the closely matched market odds by sustaining cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent rainfall that limits nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. Official PAGASA guidance and model consensus from sources including GFS and European forecasts point to overnight minima clustered around 25–27°C on August 29, with southwest winds of 10–15 m/s further moderating temperatures and preventing sharper drops. Recent heavy rainfall episodes and overcast conditions have kept daily ranges narrow, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds like 24°C versus 26°C that traders weigh against historical August baselines near 25–26°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Manila em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Manila em 29 de agosto?
31°C ou mais 50%
28°C 49%
29°C 43%
26°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
21°C ou menos
8%
22°C
4%
23°C
24%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
43%
30°C
2%
31°C ou mais
50%
31°C ou mais 50%
28°C 49%
29°C 43%
26°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
21°C ou menos
$135 Vol.
8%
22°C
$54 Vol.
4%
23°C
$34 Vol.
24%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$5 Vol.
49%
29°C
$145 Vol.
43%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C ou mais
$5 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives the closely matched market odds by sustaining cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent rainfall that limits nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. Official PAGASA guidance and model consensus from sources including GFS and European forecasts point to overnight minima clustered around 25–27°C on August 29, with southwest winds of 10–15 m/s further moderating temperatures and preventing sharper drops. Recent heavy rainfall episodes and overcast conditions have kept daily ranges narrow, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds like 24°C versus 26°C that traders weigh against historical August baselines near 25–26°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$383Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives the closely matched market odds by sustaining cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent rainfall that limits nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. Official PAGASA guidance and model consensus from sources including GFS and European forecasts point to overnight minima clustered around 25–27°C on August 29, with southwest winds of 10–15 m/s further moderating temperatures and preventing sharper drops. Recent heavy rainfall episodes and overcast conditions have kept daily ranges narrow, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds like 24°C versus 26°C that traders weigh against historical August baselines near 25–26°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$383Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area, drives the closely matched market odds by sustaining cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent rainfall that limits nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. Official PAGASA guidance and model consensus from sources including GFS and European forecasts point to overnight minima clustered around 25–27°C on August 29, with southwest winds of 10–15 m/s further moderating temperatures and preventing sharper drops. Recent heavy rainfall episodes and overcast conditions have kept daily ranges narrow, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds like 24°C versus 26°C that traders weigh against historical August baselines near 25–26°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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