Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover from ongoing thunderstorms are capping nighttime radiative cooling in Manila, keeping the diurnal temperature range narrow amid high humidity near 85-95%. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a minimum near 25-26°C on August 30, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover around 26°C. Minor model differences in rain timing and wind speeds (15-25 km/h from the southwest) explain the tight clustering of market probabilities around 24-27°C, as brief clearer intervals could allow slightly lower readings while sustained convection supports milder values. Upcoming overnight observations and final model runs will refine these near-term thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Manila em 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Manila em 30 de agosto?
25°C 50%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
21°C or below
38%
22°C
14%
23°C
39%
24°C
49%
25°C
50%
26°C
28%
27°C
29%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
47%
31°C or higher
2%
25°C 50%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
21°C or below
$130 Vol.
38%
22°C
$0 Vol.
14%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
29%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
47%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover from ongoing thunderstorms are capping nighttime radiative cooling in Manila, keeping the diurnal temperature range narrow amid high humidity near 85-95%. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a minimum near 25-26°C on August 30, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover around 26°C. Minor model differences in rain timing and wind speeds (15-25 km/h from the southwest) explain the tight clustering of market probabilities around 24-27°C, as brief clearer intervals could allow slightly lower readings while sustained convection supports milder values. Upcoming overnight observations and final model runs will refine these near-term thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$130Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover from ongoing thunderstorms are capping nighttime radiative cooling in Manila, keeping the diurnal temperature range narrow amid high humidity near 85-95%. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a minimum near 25-26°C on August 30, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover around 26°C. Minor model differences in rain timing and wind speeds (15-25 km/h from the southwest) explain the tight clustering of market probabilities around 24-27°C, as brief clearer intervals could allow slightly lower readings while sustained convection supports milder values. Upcoming overnight observations and final model runs will refine these near-term thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$130Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover from ongoing thunderstorms are capping nighttime radiative cooling in Manila, keeping the diurnal temperature range narrow amid high humidity near 85-95%. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a minimum near 25-26°C on August 30, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover around 26°C. Minor model differences in rain timing and wind speeds (15-25 km/h from the southwest) explain the tight clustering of market probabilities around 24-27°C, as brief clearer intervals could allow slightly lower readings while sustained convection supports milder values. Upcoming overnight observations and final model runs will refine these near-term thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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