Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and frequent thunderstorms, are moderating daytime heating across Manila and anchoring trader focus on 29-31°C outcomes. Official short-range models show consensus for highs near 28-30°C on August 30 amid southwest winds of 15-25 mph and 60-90% rain probability, suppressing peaks below seasonal averages. Minor disagreements in precipitation timing and convective intensity across ensembles create the tight spread between 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C, while historical August baselines of 31°C highs provide context for the current cooler, wetter pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 30 de agosto?
30°C 26%
31°C 21%
29°C 20%
32°C 19%
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
13%
29°C
20%
30°C
26%
31°C
21%
32°C
19%
33°C
2%
34°C ou mais
1%
30°C 26%
31°C 21%
29°C 20%
32°C 19%
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
13%
29°C
20%
30°C
26%
31°C
21%
32°C
19%
33°C
2%
34°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and frequent thunderstorms, are moderating daytime heating across Manila and anchoring trader focus on 29-31°C outcomes. Official short-range models show consensus for highs near 28-30°C on August 30 amid southwest winds of 15-25 mph and 60-90% rain probability, suppressing peaks below seasonal averages. Minor disagreements in precipitation timing and convective intensity across ensembles create the tight spread between 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C, while historical August baselines of 31°C highs provide context for the current cooler, wetter pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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