Recent forecasts from multiple models show partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds over Istanbul on August 30, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28°C after cooler, showery conditions the prior day. Variability in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight split between 26°C (42%) and 27°C (36%) market-implied odds, as even modest increases in insolation or reduced wind could push the peak higher while persistent stratus or stronger advection would cap it lower. Historical late-August climatology in the region averages around 28°C, but the current cool anomaly narrows the range. Updated high-resolution model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings expected later today will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 30 de agosto?
26°C 42%
27°C 36%
25°C 10%
28°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
42%
27°C
36%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
27°C 36%
25°C 10%
28°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
22°C or below
$185 Vol.
1%
23°C
$94 Vol.
2%
24°C
$82 Vol.
2%
25°C
$282 Vol.
10%
26°C
$454 Vol.
42%
27°C
$439 Vol.
36%
28°C
$6 Vol.
7%
29°C
$15 Vol.
2%
30°C
$90 Vol.
1%
31°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$24 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds over Istanbul on August 30, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28°C after cooler, showery conditions the prior day. Variability in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight split between 26°C (42%) and 27°C (36%) market-implied odds, as even modest increases in insolation or reduced wind could push the peak higher while persistent stratus or stronger advection would cap it lower. Historical late-August climatology in the region averages around 28°C, but the current cool anomaly narrows the range. Updated high-resolution model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings expected later today will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,786Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds over Istanbul on August 30, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28°C after cooler, showery conditions the prior day. Variability in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight split between 26°C (42%) and 27°C (36%) market-implied odds, as even modest increases in insolation or reduced wind could push the peak higher while persistent stratus or stronger advection would cap it lower. Historical late-August climatology in the region averages around 28°C, but the current cool anomaly narrows the range. Updated high-resolution model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings expected later today will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,786Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models show partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds over Istanbul on August 30, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28°C after cooler, showery conditions the prior day. Variability in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight split between 26°C (42%) and 27°C (36%) market-implied odds, as even modest increases in insolation or reduced wind could push the peak higher while persistent stratus or stronger advection would cap it lower. Historical late-August climatology in the region averages around 28°C, but the current cool anomaly narrows the range. Updated high-resolution model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings expected later today will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions