**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 30 high temperature centers on the 30–32 °C range (73 % combined implied probability), reflecting model consensus for a cooler day driven by widespread rain and cloud cover.** Multiple forecasts, including those from Worldmeteo, PredictWind, LUFT TIME, and Chinese meteorological sources, project a daytime maximum near 30–31 °C (with lows around 26 °C) under conditions of heavy rain transitioning to thunderstorms and 80 %+ precipitation chances. This marks a sharp drop from recent 35 °C+ readings, as an active monsoon trough or similar synoptic feature increases cloudiness, reduces incoming solar radiation, and promotes evaporative cooling. High humidity (often 75–90 %) further moderates peaks by limiting sensible heat buildup, while light winds limit mixing. Historical August climatology in Guangzhou favors 32–33 °C averages, but the current setup aligns with suppressed maxima typical during organized rainfall events. Model agreement is relatively tight on the 30–31 °C outcome, with minor spread arising from exact timing and intensity of convective cells; any late-day clearing could nudge readings toward 32 °C, while heavier or earlier rain would favor 29–30 °C. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping the distribution centered on these values.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 30 de agosto?
31°C 30%
30°C 24%
32°C 19%
29°C 9.9%
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
24%
31°C
30%
32°C
19%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
31°C 30%
30°C 24%
32°C 19%
29°C 9.9%
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
24%
31°C
30%
32°C
19%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 30 high temperature centers on the 30–32 °C range (73 % combined implied probability), reflecting model consensus for a cooler day driven by widespread rain and cloud cover.** Multiple forecasts, including those from Worldmeteo, PredictWind, LUFT TIME, and Chinese meteorological sources, project a daytime maximum near 30–31 °C (with lows around 26 °C) under conditions of heavy rain transitioning to thunderstorms and 80 %+ precipitation chances. This marks a sharp drop from recent 35 °C+ readings, as an active monsoon trough or similar synoptic feature increases cloudiness, reduces incoming solar radiation, and promotes evaporative cooling. High humidity (often 75–90 %) further moderates peaks by limiting sensible heat buildup, while light winds limit mixing. Historical August climatology in Guangzhou favors 32–33 °C averages, but the current setup aligns with suppressed maxima typical during organized rainfall events. Model agreement is relatively tight on the 30–31 °C outcome, with minor spread arising from exact timing and intensity of convective cells; any late-day clearing could nudge readings toward 32 °C, while heavier or earlier rain would favor 29–30 °C. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping the distribution centered on these values.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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