A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil has elevated São Paulo temperatures well above the late-August climatological average of roughly 22°C, with official forecasts from sources including the Centro de Emergências Climáticas and multiple models converging on a daytime maximum of 31–33°C under sunny, low-humidity conditions. This setup favors 32°C as the most probable outcome per trader consensus, as model runs show limited spread and no significant cooling mechanisms expected before evening. Resolution hinges on verified station readings, with any late-day model adjustments or measurement variability the main variables that could shift probabilities toward 31°C or 33°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 28 de agosto?
32°C 46%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
30°C 7%
$11,801 Vol.
$11,801 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
20%
32°C
46%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
6%
32°C 46%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
30°C 7%
$11,801 Vol.
$11,801 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
20%
32°C
46%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil has elevated São Paulo temperatures well above the late-August climatological average of roughly 22°C, with official forecasts from sources including the Centro de Emergências Climáticas and multiple models converging on a daytime maximum of 31–33°C under sunny, low-humidity conditions. This setup favors 32°C as the most probable outcome per trader consensus, as model runs show limited spread and no significant cooling mechanisms expected before evening. Resolution hinges on verified station readings, with any late-day model adjustments or measurement variability the main variables that could shift probabilities toward 31°C or 33°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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