Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models, including Met Office and Yr, indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29, 2026, around 8–11°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions with light easterly winds and no precipitation. This aligns with typical late-winter patterns for the region, where average August minima hover near 7°C but can vary with high-pressure systems and minimal cold-air advection from the south. Model consensus shows limited overnight radiative cooling due to moderate humidity and stable steering patterns, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 5°C. Trader emphasis on the 3°C outcome at 77% implied probability likely reflects positioning around potential measurement variability or localized urban effects at official stations, while the 31% on 2°C or below captures residual uncertainty in final hourly readings near dawn. Upcoming official SMN verification will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 29 de agosto?
3°C 95%
2°C ou menos 62%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$2,264 Vol.
$2,264 Vol.
29 ago 2026
2°C ou menos
62%
3°C
77%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C ou mais
<1%
3°C 95%
2°C ou menos 62%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$2,264 Vol.
$2,264 Vol.
29 ago 2026
2°C ou menos
$85 Vol.
62%
3°C
$292 Vol.
77%
4°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$91 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$151 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$312 Vol.
<1%
12°C ou mais
$312 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models, including Met Office and Yr, indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29, 2026, around 8–11°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions with light easterly winds and no precipitation. This aligns with typical late-winter patterns for the region, where average August minima hover near 7°C but can vary with high-pressure systems and minimal cold-air advection from the south. Model consensus shows limited overnight radiative cooling due to moderate humidity and stable steering patterns, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 5°C. Trader emphasis on the 3°C outcome at 77% implied probability likely reflects positioning around potential measurement variability or localized urban effects at official stations, while the 31% on 2°C or below captures residual uncertainty in final hourly readings near dawn. Upcoming official SMN verification will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$2,264Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models, including Met Office and Yr, indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29, 2026, around 8–11°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions with light easterly winds and no precipitation. This aligns with typical late-winter patterns for the region, where average August minima hover near 7°C but can vary with high-pressure systems and minimal cold-air advection from the south. Model consensus shows limited overnight radiative cooling due to moderate humidity and stable steering patterns, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 5°C. Trader emphasis on the 3°C outcome at 77% implied probability likely reflects positioning around potential measurement variability or localized urban effects at official stations, while the 31% on 2°C or below captures residual uncertainty in final hourly readings near dawn. Upcoming official SMN verification will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,264Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models, including Met Office and Yr, indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29, 2026, around 8–11°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions with light easterly winds and no precipitation. This aligns with typical late-winter patterns for the region, where average August minima hover near 7°C but can vary with high-pressure systems and minimal cold-air advection from the south. Model consensus shows limited overnight radiative cooling due to moderate humidity and stable steering patterns, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 5°C. Trader emphasis on the 3°C outcome at 77% implied probability likely reflects positioning around potential measurement variability or localized urban effects at official stations, while the 31% on 2°C or below captures residual uncertainty in final hourly readings near dawn. Upcoming official SMN verification will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions