**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate highs in the lower 90s°F for Miami on August 31, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 90-91°F outcome at 46.5% implied probability.** Persistent easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and a weak upper-level trough are promoting scattered to numerous afternoon thunderstorms, which typically limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while heat indices remain elevated near 105–106°F. Recent observations show daily maxima suppressed to the mid-to-upper 80s amid similar convective activity, but clearing morning conditions on the 31st support modest warming toward the seasonal normal of ~90°F. Model consensus favors this range over extremes, though variability in storm timing and coverage introduces uncertainty that keeps 92-93°F (24%) and 88-89°F (20.5%) as secondary possibilities ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami em 31 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Miami em 31 de agosto?
90-91°F 47%
92-93°F 25%
88-89°F 20%
30-31°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
79°F ou menos
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
4%
30-31°C
5%
88-89°F
20%
90-91°F
47%
92-93°F
25%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
4%
98°F ou mais
2%
90-91°F 47%
92-93°F 25%
88-89°F 20%
30-31°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
79°F ou menos
$11 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$20 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
4%
30-31°C
$0 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$88 Vol.
20%
90-91°F
$193 Vol.
47%
92-93°F
$363 Vol.
25%
94-95°F
$37 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$62 Vol.
4%
98°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate highs in the lower 90s°F for Miami on August 31, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 90-91°F outcome at 46.5% implied probability.** Persistent easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and a weak upper-level trough are promoting scattered to numerous afternoon thunderstorms, which typically limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while heat indices remain elevated near 105–106°F. Recent observations show daily maxima suppressed to the mid-to-upper 80s amid similar convective activity, but clearing morning conditions on the 31st support modest warming toward the seasonal normal of ~90°F. Model consensus favors this range over extremes, though variability in storm timing and coverage introduces uncertainty that keeps 92-93°F (24%) and 88-89°F (20.5%) as secondary possibilities ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$773Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate highs in the lower 90s°F for Miami on August 31, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 90-91°F outcome at 46.5% implied probability.** Persistent easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and a weak upper-level trough are promoting scattered to numerous afternoon thunderstorms, which typically limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while heat indices remain elevated near 105–106°F. Recent observations show daily maxima suppressed to the mid-to-upper 80s amid similar convective activity, but clearing morning conditions on the 31st support modest warming toward the seasonal normal of ~90°F. Model consensus favors this range over extremes, though variability in storm timing and coverage introduces uncertainty that keeps 92-93°F (24%) and 88-89°F (20.5%) as secondary possibilities ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$773Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate highs in the lower 90s°F for Miami on August 31, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 90-91°F outcome at 46.5% implied probability.** Persistent easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and a weak upper-level trough are promoting scattered to numerous afternoon thunderstorms, which typically limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while heat indices remain elevated near 105–106°F. Recent observations show daily maxima suppressed to the mid-to-upper 80s amid similar convective activity, but clearing morning conditions on the 31st support modest warming toward the seasonal normal of ~90°F. Model consensus favors this range over extremes, though variability in storm timing and coverage introduces uncertainty that keeps 92-93°F (24%) and 88-89°F (20.5%) as secondary possibilities ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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